On Thursday, a new poll was released that shows Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania.
Clinton currently holds a nine point lead over her opponent. Her lead is due, in part, to her strong support in urban areas such as Philadelphia. The poll, which was conducted by Suffolk University, shows Clinton leading Trump 50 to 41.
David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Research Center in Boston, said:
‘Hillary Clinton is flirting with fifty thanks to Philly. At this point Clinton’s large lead in the Philadelphia area is offsetting losses to Trump in other parts of the state. She also is amassing the support of women and thus drowning out Trump’s marginal lead among men.’
Despite being considered a swing state, Pennsylvania has gone blue in the past six presidential elections. That being said, things might be a bit more competitive this year considering Pennsylvania is a rust belt state and Trump has made manufacturing jobs a core issue of his campaign. On Wednesday, Trump and his running mate, Mike Pence, held a campaign rally in Scranton, PA.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 27, 2016
Third party candidates never win elections, but they can often have an impact on the outcome. However, the poll results showed that the Greens and the Libertarians appear to minimally affect the outcome of the Pennsylvania election. In a four-way race, Clinton leads Trump 46 to 37 percent. The numbers change around a bit, but it’s still a 9 point lead for Clinton.
In further proof that this election is shaping up to be a choice between which candidate can be best tolerated, neither candidate is popular with Pennsylvania voters. A mere 44 percent of voters have a favorable view of Clinton and only 33 percent favor Trump. The most popular figure in the state is actually Clinton’s former rival, Bernie Sanders. The Vermont senator holds a 60 percent approval rating, which is even higher than President Obama’s.
As always, polls should be taken with a grain of salt. However, this news does not bode well for Trump, especially considering that the poll was conducted prior to the Democratic National Convention, which should give Clinton a boost.